Transportation Security Administration Predictions & Odds· 111 markets
1%
Yes
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 6 days
38%
18-18.5m
72%
2.6M-2.8M
76%
2.6M-2.8M
79%
<2.4M
Number of TSA Passengers March 31?
$663 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$663 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
88%
<2.4M
91%
17.5-18m
54%
2.6M-2.8M
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$108k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$108k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
3%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 16 days
31%
Yes
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$115k Liq.
🔥$175k today
121
Ends in about 13 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$175k today$115k Liq.121Ends in about 13 hours
30%
April 30
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 13 hours
$73k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
3%
Yes
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
21%
June 30