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US Bank Predictions & Odds· 164 markets

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U
US bank failure by April 30?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by April 30?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

19%

Yes

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Politics·Iran

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$4.0m Vol.
$773k Liq.
🔥$245k today
Ended

100%

Bahrain

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Geopolitics·U.S. x Iran

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$230k Vol.
$717k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

100%

Bahrain

W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Economy·Interest Rate

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

53%

↓3.66%

W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$155k Vol.
$113k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months

65%

Stefan Brodie

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$96k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

Politics·Trump

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$41k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

35%

60+

U
U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

Games · Sports

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Economic Policy

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m Vol.
$70k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months

33%

Yes

W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Politics·Congress

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

95%

Kevin Cramer

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k Vol.
$104k Liq.
35
Ends in 27 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

Economy·Trump

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

35%

800–900B

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

Economy·Trump

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$251 Liq.
26
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

Geopolitics·Trump

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Politics·Trump

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

85%

Yes

U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$538k Vol.
$12k Liq.
🔥$127k today
172

22%

Yes