US Bank Predictions & Odds· 158 markets

U
US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

19%

Yes

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$4.0m Vol.
$772k Liq.
🔥$244k today
Ended

100%

Bahrain

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$228k Vol.
$815k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

100%

Bahrain

W
Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

53%

↓3.66%

W
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$155k Vol.
$113k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months

65%

Stefan Brodie

M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$358k Vol.
$91k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

2%

Deutsche Bank

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k Vol.
$127k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

35%

60+

U
U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

Games · Sports

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k Vol.
$108k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m Vol.
$68k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months

33%

Yes

W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

$72k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

94%

Kevin Cramer

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k Vol.
$102k Liq.
34
Ends in 27 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

35%

800–900B

U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$234 Liq.
26
Ends in 3 months

47%

Yes

A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · Politics

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

28%

Yes

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

85%

Yes

U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics · Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

$15k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

U
US bank failure in February?

US bank failure in February?

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No