Abraham Accords Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$356k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$356k Vol.$70k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Kuwait
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
$407 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$407 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$72k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$72k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$432k Vol.
$35k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$432k Vol.$35k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 28 days
18%
April 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$75k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$75k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
53%
Yes
I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$31k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$31k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
22%
Leadership Change
I
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$68k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$68k Vol.$77k Liq.Ends in 28 days
96%
April 2
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$74k Vol.
$78k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$78k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
31%
December 31
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$234k Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ends in 28 days
$234k Vol.🔥$58k today$130k Liq.Ends in 28 days
5%
Yes
M
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$123k Vol.
$225k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$123k Vol.$225k Liq.Ends in 28 days
61%
Military action through April 30
I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$12.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended
$12.0m Vol.🔥$1.5m today$1.1m Liq.371Ended
88%
December 31
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$81.3m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$7.5m today
1,408
$81.3m Vol.🔥$7.5m today$2.6m Liq.1,408
73%
December 31
U
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$964k Vol.
$30k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
$964k Vol.$30k Liq.53Ends in 3 months
25%
Yes
M
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$47k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$47k Vol.$102k Liq.Ends in 28 days
45%
April 24
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$18k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
M
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$316k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$316k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 3 months
81%
June 30