Abraham Accords Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$337k Vol.
$47k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$337k Vol.$47k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$71k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$71k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
46%
Yes
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
$203k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$203k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
1%
Yes
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$34k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
47%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$388k Vol.
$40k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$388k Vol.$40k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$65k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$65k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
38%
Leadership Change
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$4k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$4k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 30 days
86%
April 1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$48k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$48k Vol.$67k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
🔥$93k today
2
Ended
$2.0m Vol.🔥$93k today$11k Liq.2Ended
98%
March 27
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$39k Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$39k Vol.$167k Liq.Ends in 30 days
59%
Military action through April 30
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$132k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$132k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 30 days
13%
Yes
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.9m Vol.
$484k Liq.
🔥$405k today
327
Ended
$8.9m Vol.🔥$405k today$484k Liq.327Ended
79%
December 31
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$65.2m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
1,276
$65.2m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$1.3m Liq.1,276
74%
December 31
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$29k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$29k Vol.$68k Liq.Ends in 30 days
44%
April 16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$916k Vol.
$17k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$916k Vol.$17k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
16%
June 30
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$9k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$9k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes