Communication Predictions & Odds· 140 markets

U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$81.9m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$6.3m today
1,412

72%

December 31

W
Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

$3.4m Vol.
$161k Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
Ended

97%

Mohammed bin Salman

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$101k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

24%

Yes

W
Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

$36k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

99%

Mark Carney

W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$284k Vol.
$20k Liq.
7
Ends in 27 days

8%

June 30

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

11%

Yes

I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

$432k Vol.
$40k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months

41%

June 30

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$77k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

50%

Yes

W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

$103k Vol.
$49k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$31k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

23%

Leadership Change

W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

6%

Yes

W
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

$765k Vol.
$50k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

M
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

$1.0m Vol.
$2k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months

32%

December 31

W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

26%

Yes

W
What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
40
Ends in 9 months

13%

$1M

W
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$574k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended

3%

Yes

W
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

$104k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

64%

Yes

A
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

$12k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

95%

Yes

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$10k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

77%

Yes

M
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

$213k Vol.
$30k Liq.
62
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes