Demographic Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$53k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$53k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 27 days
100%
April 1
I
38%
March 29
K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$113k Vol.
$19k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$113k Vol.$19k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$35k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$35k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 year
$1k Vol.$4k Liq.3Ends in about 1 year
44%
Yes
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$99k Vol.
$28k Liq.
57
Ended
$99k Vol.$28k Liq.57Ended
44%
59-60%
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$76 Vol.
$825 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$76 Vol.$825 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
94%
Up
H
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
$36k Vol.
$165k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$36k Vol.$165k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
42%
300-400k
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?
$645k Vol.
$18k Liq.
🔥$130k today
222
$645k Vol.🔥$130k today$18k Liq.222
98%
Yes
M
53%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
A
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$28k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
93%
Up
T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?
$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$2k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 27 days
95%
Yes
2
19%
115-120m
C
70%
4.0–5.0%
T
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$102k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$102k Vol.$56k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
36%
71–74%
S
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
$88k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$88k Vol.$69k Liq.Ends in 5 months
94%
Yes
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
