Funding Bill Predictions & Odds· 109 markets
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$56k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$81k Vol.$56k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
8%
Jacky Rosen
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$524k Vol.
$135k Liq.
🔥$69k today
Ends in about 1 month
$524k Vol.🔥$69k today$135k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
25%
After April 30
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.7m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.7m Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
100%
After March 31
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
89%
Yes
Which bills will become law in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
67%
Housing for the 21st Century Act
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 19 days
66%
Yes
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$50k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$50k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$25k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
55%
4
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
1%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$68k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$68k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$589 Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$589 Liq.15Ends in 3 months
38%
Yes
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$241 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$241 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?
$26k Vol.
$95k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$26k Vol.$95k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
8%
June 30