Leadership Predictions & Odds· 153 markets

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$30k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

22%

Leadership Change

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

$6.0m Vol.
$293k Liq.
🔥$214k today
892
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

L
Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

$59k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$18.1m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
1
Ends in 28 days

3%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$25.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$823k today
11
Ends in 3 months

12%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$12.9m Vol.
$349k Liq.
🔥$284k today
19
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

$22k Vol.
$222k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

7%

Yes

W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$893k Vol.
$117k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

11%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$466k Vol.
$34k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

89%

Yes

K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

$111k Vol.
$21k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

I
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

$344k Vol.
$31k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

N
Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

$29.1m Vol.
$484k Liq.
🔥$1.0m today
244
Ended

95%

Tô Lâm

C
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

$130k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

33%

Yes

K
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?

$35k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

2%

Yes

W
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

$925k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

24%

Yes

W
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$1.6m Vol.
$10k Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months

20%

Yes

W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

$17.3m Vol.
$61k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months

60%

Caesars Entertainment

A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

$111k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

W
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$250 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

56%

Yes