Leadership Predictions & Odds· 157 markets
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
38%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$256k Liq.
🔥$143k today
888
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$143k today$256k Liq.888Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?
$45k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$45k Vol.$17k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
38%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$59.3m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$4.7m today
3
Ended
$59.3m Vol.🔥$4.7m today$2.4m Liq.3Ended
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$23.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$861k today
4
Ends in 3 months
$23.2m Vol.🔥$861k today$1.5m Liq.4Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.3m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$527k today
1
Ends in 30 days
$13.3m Vol.🔥$527k today$1.5m Liq.1Ends in 30 days
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.3m Vol.
$388k Liq.
🔥$199k today
12
Ends in 9 months
$12.3m Vol.🔥$199k today$388k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$450k Vol.
$27k Liq.
51
Ends in 3 months
$450k Vol.$27k Liq.51Ends in 3 months
84%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$845k Vol.
$88k Liq.
30
Ends in 9 months
$845k Vol.$88k Liq.30Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$21k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$21k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$16k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Next President of Vietnam
$27.6m Vol.
$472k Liq.
🔥$541k today
237
Ended
$27.6m Vol.🔥$541k today$472k Liq.237Ended
94%
Tô Lâm
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$17.3m Vol.
$58k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$17.3m Vol.$58k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
69%
Caesars Entertainment
35%
Yes
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
$1.6m Vol.
$26k Liq.
156
Ends in 3 months
$1.6m Vol.$26k Liq.156Ends in 3 months
24%
June 30, 2026
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
$31k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$31k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes
12%
Yes
0%
Yes
China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes