Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
31%
100k+
30%
4.4%
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$336k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$336k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
64%
5.0%
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
83%
Yes
1%
Yes
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes
23%
Yes
US recession by end of 2026?
$923k Vol.
$77k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months
$923k Vol.$77k Liq.52Ends in 10 months
38%
Yes
Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
$3k Vol.
$862 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$3k Vol.$862 Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
76%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 11 months
87%
Up
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?
$18k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$18k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 1 day
89%
Yes
24%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$60k Vol.
$6k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$6k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
32%
Yes
25%
Yes
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 1 day
64%
Yes
Will Dave and Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?
$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
$7k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 19 hours
19%
Yes
99%
2.6%
75%
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