Secretary Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$12k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$775k Vol.
$106k Liq.
🔥$83k today
Ends in 27 days
$775k Vol.🔥$83k today$106k Liq.Ends in 27 days
27%
After April 30
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
44%
Yes
R
23%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$23k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$11k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
W
1%
Yes
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$889 Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$889 Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
Howard Lutnick
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$897 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$897 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
65%
December 31, 2026
T
56%
June 30
H
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$4 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$4 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 27 days
43%
20 - 25 minutes
W
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$512 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$512 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 27 days
79%
President 50+ times
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$51k Vol.
$8k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$51k Vol.$8k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
18%
Yes
W
Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?
$40k Vol.
$119k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$40k Vol.$119k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
48%
Lee Zeldin
S
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
$52 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$52 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
32%
Yes
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026
N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$410k Vol.
$20k Liq.
20
Ended
$410k Vol.$20k Liq.20Ended
46%
June 30, 2026
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$133k Vol.
$28k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$28k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
U
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
$51k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$51k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 3 months
35%
Yes