Shipping Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$82k Vol.
$36k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$82k Vol.$36k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
60%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$98k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
5%
March 31
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$331k Vol.
$91k Liq.
🔥$61k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$331k Vol.🔥$61k today$91k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$15k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
59%
<2
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$64k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
<5
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$637k Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$391k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$637k Vol.🔥$391k today$138k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
34%
United States
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$19k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$19k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 11 hours
$50k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$27k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
47%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$595k Vol.
$35k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$595k Vol.$35k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
17%
↑ $4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$438k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$438k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$287k today$59k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
97%
0-10
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$12k Liq.Ended
39%
25-29
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+