Tipping Point Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$33k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$33k Vol.$22k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
49%
December 31

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$370k Vol.
$73k Liq.
🔥$56k today
39
Ends in 30 days
$370k Vol.🔥$56k today$73k Liq.39Ends in 30 days
27%
April 30

China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes

23%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
41%
April 30

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$596k Vol.$35k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
15%
↑ $4

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$371k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$371k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
$449 Vol.
$30k Liq.
53
Ends in 9 months
$449 Vol.$30k Liq.53Ends in 9 months
25%
USD0

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes

46%
Yes

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$24k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 9 months
95%
↓ $6,200

S&P 500 · Indicies
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?
$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$19k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 3 months
88%
↓ $6,300

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
$175k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$175k Vol.$18k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
56%
↓ 100

82%
Pause–Pause–Pause

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$291k Vol.$2k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
51%
↑ 0.50

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014

What will Trump say during Easter lunch on April 1?
$867 Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 22 hours
$867 Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in about 22 hours
88%
Thank you 5+ times

What price will Aster hit in 2026?
$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$64k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
72%
↓ 0.40

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$143 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$143 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$4 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$4 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 30 days
37%
25 - 30 minutes