Tipping Point Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

$33k Vol.
$22k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

49%

December 31

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$370k Vol.
$73k Liq.
🔥$56k today
39
Ends in 30 days

27%

April 30

China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

$111k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$379k Vol.
$15k Liq.
65

23%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

41%

April 30

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$596k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

15%

↑ $4

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m Vol.
$371k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

$449 Vol.
$30k Liq.
53
Ends in 9 months

25%

USD0

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$10k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

$24k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

95%

↓ $6,200

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

S&P 500 · Indicies

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

88%

↓ $6,300

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

$175k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

56%

↓ 100

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$715k Vol.
$116k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

$291k Vol.
$2k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

51%

↑ 0.50

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

70%

↓ 0.0014

What will Trump say during Easter lunch on April 1?

What will Trump say during Easter lunch on April 1?

$867 Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 22 hours

88%

Thank you 5+ times

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

$64k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

72%

↓ 0.40

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 Vol.
$143 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

82%

Up

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

$4 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

37%

25 - 30 minutes