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Economy1 Predictions & Odds· 256 markets

AllPoliticsIranBusinessFinanceInterest RatesFedStrait Of HormuzChinaOilAIInflationTechEuUnemploymentFed RatesGeopoliticsEconomyEuropeFOMCGasCommoditiesThirdMacro GeopoliticsParlaysJapanJerome PowellCpiDeepSeekEconomic PolicyWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsMonthlyJobs ReportNFPNonfarm PayrollGlobal RatesU.S. X IranShipsTransitHormuz
E
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Economy·Macro Indicators

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

$7k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in 10 months

47%

3.1%+

F
Fed decision in April?

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decision in April?

$47.2m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$2.6m today
49
Ends in 26 days

98%

No change

L
Largest Company end of April?

Tech·Big Tech

Largest Company end of April?

$1.8m Vol.
$666k Liq.
🔥$449k today
Ends in 27 days

97%

NVIDIA

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Economy·ships

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$2.3m Vol.
$334k Liq.
🔥$199k today
Ends in 27 days

12%

Yes

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$15.5m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$150k today
60
Ends in 9 months

31%

0 (0 bps)

F
Fed Decision in June?

Politics·Economic Policy

Fed Decision in June?

$5.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$103k today
23
Ends in 2 months

91%

No change

L
Largest Company end of June?

Tech·AI

Largest Company end of June?

$3.8m Vol.
$411k Liq.
🔥$67k today
83
Ends in 3 months

83%

NVIDIA

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Geopolitics·transit

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$88k Vol.
$42k Liq.
🔥$62k today
Ends in about 2 months

27%

Yes

F
Fed Decision in July?

Economy·fomc

Fed Decision in July?

$3.2m Vol.
$296k Liq.
🔥$50k today
Ends in 4 months

81%

No change

2
2nd largest company end of April?

Finance·Business

2nd largest company end of April?

$1.0m Vol.
$182k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

76%

Apple

U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Economic Policy

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$64k Liq.
68
Ends in 10 months

32%

Yes

M
March Inflation US - Annual

Economy·Inflation

March Inflation US - Annual

$3.1m Vol.
$134k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

98%

≥2.8%

M
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

Economy·Inflation

March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)

$896k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

39%

3.3%

B
Bank of Japan Decision in April?

World·Japan

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

$309k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 25 days

62%

25 bps increase

W
Will gas hit __ by end of April?

Economy·Iran

Will gas hit __ by end of April?

$145k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

98%

↑ $4.15

H
How high will inflation get in 2026?

Economy·Inflation

How high will inflation get in 2026?

$391k Vol.
$143k Liq.
33
Ends in 9 months

99%

Above 3%

M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$172k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ended

41%

4.4%

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$412k Vol.
$88k Liq.
38
Ends in 26 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

M
March Inflation US - Monthly

Economy·Inflation

March Inflation US - Monthly

$540k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

91%

≥0.8%

3
3rd largest company end of April?

Economy·Big Tech

3rd largest company end of April?

$732k Vol.
$122k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

74%

Alphabet