General Predictions & Odds· 303 markets

N
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$405k Vol.
$17k Liq.
17
Ended

22%

June 30, 2026

Q
Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

$381k Vol.
$82k Liq.
46
Ends in 6 months

57%

PQ

P
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?

$167k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

64%

December 31

W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ended

49%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1.6m Vol.
$25k Liq.
363
Ended

49%

<55%

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

40%

59-60%

T
Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

74%

Mayes Middleton

N
Next Prime Minister of Faroe Islands

Next Prime Minister of Faroe Islands

$46k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ended

98%

Beinir Johannesen

P
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

$46k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

72%

Dem-Rep

W
WA-03 Primary Winners

WA-03 Primary Winners

$1k Vol.
$41k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months

90%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

E
Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
7
Ends in about 2 months

92%

Prosperity

N
Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

$28.7m Vol.
$498k Liq.
🔥$676k today
243
Ended

95%

Tô Lâm

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.9m Vol.
$385k Liq.
🔥$606k today
Ends in 28 days

2%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$4.4m Vol.
$456k Liq.
🔥$262k today
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$2.1m Vol.
$207k Liq.
🔥$192k today
Ends in 28 days

12%

Yes

P
Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

$4.9m Vol.
$573k Liq.
🔥$138k today
745
Ends in 10 days

33%

Rafael López Aliaga

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,428
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

$7.7m Vol.
$298k Liq.
🔥$67k today
705
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.4m Vol.
$336k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months

52%

Democratic Party

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m Vol.
$57k Liq.
162
Ends in 28 days

56%

June 30, 2026