General Predictions & Odds· 315 markets

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

$370k Vol.
$70k Liq.
🔥$67k today
46
Ends in 6 months

60%

PQ

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1.6m Vol.
$18k Liq.
358
Ended

67%

55-60%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$390k Vol.
$12k Liq.
17
Ends in about 4 hours

51%

April 30, 2026

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?

$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

74%

December 31

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

50%

59-60%

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

79%

Mayes Middleton

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$365 Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ended

46%

Amina Mohammed

Next Prime Minister of Faroe Islands

Next Prime Minister of Faroe Islands

$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ended

98%

Beinir Johannesen

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

$45k Vol.
$30k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months

69%

Dem-Rep

WA-03 Primary Winners

WA-03 Primary Winners

$1k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 months

90%

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

$2k Vol.
$15k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months

92%

Prosperity

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ends in about 4 hours

0%

Yes

Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

$27.5m Vol.
$467k Liq.
🔥$516k today
237
Ended

93%

Tô Lâm

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

$4.5m Vol.
$598k Liq.
🔥$204k today
662
Ends in 12 days

33%

Rafael López Aliaga

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$56k Liq.
🔥$164k today
Ends in about 4 hours

96%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$92k today
102
Ends in about 1 month

24%

Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.1m Vol.
$225k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

3%

Yes

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$4.1m Vol.
$458k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

85%

Democratic Party

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

$379k Vol.
$352k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months

65%

Eric Swalwell

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$331k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

87%

0-10

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