Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 551 markets
US forces enter Iran by..?
$53.1m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$8.1m today
4,923
$53.1m Vol.🔥$8.1m today$1.4m Liq.4,923
79%
December 31
Netanyahu out by...?
$88.8m Vol.
$4.7m Liq.
🔥$6.1m today
32
Ends in 9 months
$88.8m Vol.🔥$6.1m today$4.7m Liq.32Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$74.4m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
3
Ends in about 13 hours
$74.4m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$5.3m Liq.3Ends in about 13 hours
84%
↑ $100
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$62.5m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.7m today
1,247
$62.5m Vol.🔥$2.7m today$1.6m Liq.1,247
73%
December 31
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$56.4m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$1.6m Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.4m Vol.
$17k Liq.
🔥$718k today
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$2.4m Vol.🔥$718k today$17k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
90%
March 30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.1m Vol.
$363k Liq.
🔥$595k today
205
Ends in 1 day
$9.1m Vol.🔥$595k today$363k Liq.205Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,363
Ends in about 13 hours
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,363Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.3m Vol.
$176k Liq.
🔥$535k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$535k today$176k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
28%
5
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$629k Vol.
$124k Liq.
🔥$399k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$629k Vol.🔥$399k today$124k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
41%
United States
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
$10.9m Vol.
$418k Liq.
🔥$391k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$10.9m Vol.🔥$391k today$418k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
3%
Saudi Arabia
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
$5.1m Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$371k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$5.1m Vol.🔥$371k today$90k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
4%
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$1.9m Vol.
$16k Liq.
🔥$351k today
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.9m Vol.🔥$351k today$16k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
96%
March 27
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$336k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$336k today$66k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
97%
0-10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.8m Vol.
$313k Liq.
🔥$330k today
157
Ends in 3 months
$7.8m Vol.🔥$330k today$313k Liq.157Ends in 3 months
68%
June 30
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.6m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$322k today
214
Ends in 9 months
$78.6m Vol.🔥$322k today$1.1m Liq.214Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$308k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$308k today$181k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
95%
Bahrain
Who will Trump talk to in March?
$790k Vol.
$43k Liq.
🔥$308k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$790k Vol.🔥$308k today$43k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
88%
Xi Jinping
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
$8.6m Vol.
$421k Liq.
🔥$290k today
324
Ends in about 13 hours
$8.6m Vol.🔥$290k today$421k Liq.324Ends in about 13 hours
78%
December 31