Macro Predictions & Odds· 182 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
$34.0m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$897k today
3,698
Ends in 6 months
$34.0m Vol.🔥$897k today$1.9m Liq.3,698Ends in 6 months
75%
Camilo Santana
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$639k today
2
Ends in 12 days
$39.7m Vol.🔥$639k today$1.8m Liq.2Ends in 12 days
64%
Péter Magyar
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$81k Liq.
🔥$101k today
104
Ends in 30 days
$1.6m Vol.🔥$101k today$81k Liq.104Ends in 30 days
20%
Yes
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$740k Vol.
$50k Liq.
🔥$80k today
27
Ends in 8 months
$740k Vol.🔥$80k today$50k Liq.27Ends in 8 months
18%
Yes
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$834k Vol.
$87k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
$834k Vol.$87k Liq.1Ends in 10 days
50%
≥3.4%
99%
≥2.8%
23%
2.5–3.0%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$174k Liq.
706
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$174k Liq.706Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$206k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$206k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in 17 days
68%
4.5-5.0%
US recession by end of 2026?
$923k Vol.
$78k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months
$923k Vol.$78k Liq.52Ends in 10 months
38%
Yes
89%
≥0.8%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$195k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$195k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
63%
↓ 3.25%
99%
2.6%
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$341k Vol.
$144k Liq.
22
Ends in 9 months
$341k Vol.$144k Liq.22Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
30%
4.4%
31%
100k+
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
$10k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 11 months
87%
Up
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$194k Vol.
$35k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$194k Vol.$35k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
72%
4.0–5.0%
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
$15k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$15k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 14 days
72%
3.1–3.3%