Macro Predictions & Odds· 179 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
$33.6m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$771k today
3,666
Ends in 6 months
$33.6m Vol.🔥$771k today$1.5m Liq.3,666Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.5m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$700k today
1
Ends in 12 days
$39.5m Vol.🔥$700k today$1.8m Liq.1Ends in 12 days
65%
Péter Magyar
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$196k Liq.
🔥$256k today
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$256k today$196k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
67%
↓ 3.25%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$80k Liq.
🔥$71k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$71k today$80k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
98%
≥2.8%
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$225k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$225k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
27%
2.0–2.5%
24%
Yes
March Inflation US - Annual (Higher Brackets)
$808k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$808k Vol.$76k Liq.Ends in 10 days
49%
≥3.4%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$7.6m Vol.
$171k Liq.
705
Ends in 9 months
$7.6m Vol.$171k Liq.705Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
90%
≥0.8%
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$204k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
$204k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 17 days
71%
4.5-5.0%
US recession by end of 2026?
$918k Vol.
$87k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$918k Vol.$87k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
38%
Yes
How high will inflation get in 2026?
$340k Vol.
$145k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$340k Vol.$145k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
98%
Above 3%
56%
$2.25–2.50
72%
4.0–5.0%
32%
4.4%
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
$14k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
$14k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 14 days
75%
3.1–3.3%
77%
Up
26%
50k – 100k
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$193k Vol.
$33k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$193k Vol.$33k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes