Peace Talks Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$494k Vol.
$175k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$494k Vol.$175k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
43%
No Meeting by June 30
W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$7k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
W
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$765k Vol.
$51k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$765k Vol.$51k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$50k Vol.
$9k Liq.
14
Ends in 27 days
$50k Vol.$9k Liq.14Ends in 27 days
19%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$329k Liq.
🔥$381k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$381k today$329k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$66k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$66k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$134k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in 3 months
34%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$145k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$460k Liq.
🔥$191k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$191k today$460k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$246 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$246 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
$4.0m Vol.
$2k Liq.
973
Ends in 3 months
$4.0m Vol.$2k Liq.973Ends in 3 months
18%
June 30
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$3k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$3k Vol.$121k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
53%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$432k Vol.
$42k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$432k Vol.$42k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
39%
Yes
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$284k Vol.
$21k Liq.
7
Ends in 27 days
$284k Vol.$21k Liq.7Ends in 27 days
8%
June 30
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$104k Vol.
$44k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$104k Vol.$44k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,430
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,430Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$22k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$22k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes