Regulations Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Politics · Culture
Will TikTok be banned by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

45%
Yes

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes

Which banks will fail by June 30?
$355k Vol.
$97k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$355k Vol.$97k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup

SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$50k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$50k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
$24k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes

83%
Pause–Pause–Pause

97%
Pause–Pause–Pause

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$9k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$9k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
56%
December 31

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$14k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$935k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$935k Vol.$88k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes

Esports · counter strike 2
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
$16 Vol.
$380 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$16 Vol.$380 Liq.Ends in 1 day
59%
DashSkins

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?
$98k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$98k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
17%
April 10

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$13k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$13k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$45k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
50%
US x Iran Ceasefire
