Regulatory Affairs Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$102k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$102k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
3%
Deutsche Bank

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes

25%
Yes

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$5k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
$103k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$103k Vol.$4k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
71%
Yes

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$202k Vol.
$11k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$202k Vol.$11k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes

What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
$4k Vol.
$741 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$741 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
35%
Multichain

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes

Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)
$0 Vol.
$396 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$0 Vol.$396 Liq.Ends in 3 days
63%
Sam / Altman

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$8k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
52%
December 31

Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
June 30

46%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$15k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$9k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$9k Liq.38Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes


