Regulatory Affairs Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

$357k Vol.
$102k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months

3%

Deutsche Bank

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?

$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$1k Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

$103k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months

71%

Yes

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

$202k Vol.
$11k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months

12%

Yes

What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?

What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?

$4k Vol.
$741 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

35%

Multichain

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

4%

Yes

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Politics · Culture

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1

11%

Yes

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

24%

Yes

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

$0 Vol.
$396 Liq.
Ends in 3 days

63%

Sam / Altman

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months

52%

December 31

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Trump · Fed Rates

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

64%

June 30

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
108
Ends in 3 months

46%

Yes

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

$433k Vol.
$5k Liq.
28

37%

Yes

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$708k Vol.
$18k Liq.
95
Ended

93%

April 30

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

39%

April 30

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$582k Vol.
$9k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months

14%

Yes

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

70%

Yes