Peace Talks Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$492k Vol.
$206k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$492k Vol.$206k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
43%
No Meeting by June 30
W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$7k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
W
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$765k Vol.
$51k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$765k Vol.$51k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
13
Ends in 27 days
$43k Vol.$12k Liq.13Ends in 27 days
18%
April 30
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$365k Liq.
🔥$410k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$410k today$365k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$68k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$68k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$134k Vol.
$12k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$12k Liq.27Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$14k Vol.
$141k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$14k Vol.$141k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$496k Liq.
🔥$261k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$261k today$496k Liq.Ends in 3 months
10%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$212 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$212 Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
36%
Yes
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
$4.0m Vol.
$2k Liq.
973
Ends in 3 months
$4.0m Vol.$2k Liq.973Ends in 3 months
18%
June 30
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
$3k Vol.
$119k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$3k Vol.$119k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
51%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$432k Vol.
$33k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$432k Vol.$33k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
$3k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year
$3k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 1 year
39%
Yes
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$284k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 27 days
$284k Vol.$23k Liq.7Ends in 27 days
8%
June 30
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$103k Vol.
$58k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$103k Vol.$58k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,430
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,430Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$77k Vol.
$20k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$77k Vol.$20k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes