Peace Talks Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$505k Vol.
$169k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$505k Vol.$169k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
45%
No Meeting by June 30
W
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
$8k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$8k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
W
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$766k Vol.
$50k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$766k Vol.$50k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$348k Liq.
🔥$65k today
Ends in 27 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$65k today$348k Liq.Ends in 27 days
2%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$229k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$229k Vol.$11k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$71k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$71k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$134k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in 3 months
31%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$18k Vol.
$135k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$18k Vol.$135k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.4m Vol.
$497k Liq.
🔥$122k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.4m Vol.🔥$122k today$497k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
W
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
$334 Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$334 Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
$4.0m Vol.
$6k Liq.
972
Ends in 3 months
$4.0m Vol.$6k Liq.972Ends in 3 months
37%
June 30
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$433k Vol.
$47k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$433k Vol.$47k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
41%
June 30
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
$286k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 27 days
$286k Vol.$23k Liq.7Ends in 27 days
7%
June 30
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$104k Vol.
$52k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$104k Vol.$52k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
53%
US x Iran Ceasefire
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,430
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,430Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$80k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$80k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
45%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$27k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
I
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$91k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes