Commericals Predictions & Odds· 126 markets
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$194k today
122
Ends in about 5 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$194k today$138k Liq.122Ends in about 5 hours
28%
April 30
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$657k Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$235k today
16
Ends in about 1 month
$657k Vol.🔥$235k today$138k Liq.16Ends in about 1 month
27%
United States
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$939k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$939k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$17k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
<2
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$85k Vol.
$34k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$85k Vol.$34k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
58%
April 30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$9.1m Vol.
$155k Liq.
265
Ends in 9 months
$9.1m Vol.$155k Liq.265Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$98k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
7%
March 30
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$38k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$64k Vol.$38k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
98%
<5
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
$6k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 5
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$193 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$193 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
45%
Yes
94%
April 30
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$98k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$98k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
99%
Gold
What price will Ethena hit in March?
$96k Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$96k Vol.$175k Liq.Ends in 1 day
13%
↓ 0.08
What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?
$23k Vol.
$785 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$23k Vol.$785 Liq.Ends in 1 day
38%
↓ 18600
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
$9k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
56%
S&P 500