General Predictions & Odds· 326 markets

Quebec General Election Winner
$377k Vol.
$70k Liq.
🔥$55k today
46
Ends in 6 months
$377k Vol.🔥$55k today$70k Liq.46Ends in 6 months
58%
PQ

68%
55-60%

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
$391k Vol.
$13k Liq.
18
Ended
$391k Vol.$13k Liq.18Ended
50%
June 30, 2026

Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$158k Vol.
$11k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$158k Vol.$11k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
50%
December 31

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
79%
Mayes Middleton

45%
Mia Mottley

98%
Beinir Johannesen

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
69%
Dem-Rep

90%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
$2k Vol.
$16k Liq.
7
Ends in 2 months
$2k Vol.$16k Liq.7Ends in 2 months
92%
Prosperity

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
$29.5m Vol.
$389k Liq.
🔥$557k today
20,364
Ended
$29.5m Vol.🔥$557k today$389k Liq.20,364Ended
0%
Yes

Next President of Vietnam
$27.6m Vol.
$471k Liq.
🔥$541k today
237
Ended
$27.6m Vol.🔥$541k today$471k Liq.237Ended
95%
Tô Lâm

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$3.9m Vol.
$500k Liq.
🔥$242k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.🔥$242k today$500k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

Peru Presidential Election Winner
$4.5m Vol.
$619k Liq.
🔥$199k today
669
Ends in 12 days
$4.5m Vol.🔥$199k today$619k Liq.669Ends in 12 days
35%
Rafael López Aliaga

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.6m Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$101k today
104
Ends in 30 days
$1.6m Vol.🔥$101k today$116k Liq.104Ends in 30 days
21%
Yes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$230k Liq.
1
Ends in 30 days
$1.1m Vol.$230k Liq.1Ends in 30 days
3%
Yes

Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$542k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$542k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$393k Vol.
$360k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$393k Vol.$360k Liq.1Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$453k Vol.
$47k Liq.
1
Ended
$453k Vol.$47k Liq.1Ended
61%
20-24