Trump Iran Predictions & Odds· 193 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

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6%

Yes

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

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154
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67%

June 30

Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

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99%

Military action through March 31

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

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84%

June 30

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

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9
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58%

Pakistan

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

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38%

Al Zour Refinery

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

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98%

Kuwait

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

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14%

Yes

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

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98%

March 28

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

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4
Ends in 3 months

9%

Pete Hegseth

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

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5
Ends in 3 months

29%

Yes

Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

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60%

Military action through April 30

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

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66%

<2

 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

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1
Ends in 9 months

33%

December 31

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

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27%

April 30

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

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33%

April 30

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

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46%

April 25

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

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5
Ends in 3 months

52%

Yes

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

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0%

Yes

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

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7
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8%

June 30