Hum Predictions & Odds· 137 markets
H
Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$40k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$1.9m Vol.$40k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$190k Vol.
$20k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$190k Vol.$20k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
97%
35%+
G
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$264k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$264k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
93%
40%+
O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$3k Vol.
$796 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$3k Vol.$796 Liq.1Ends in 3 months
49%
Yes
O
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$69k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
15%
December 31
S
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$21k Vol.
$821 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$21k Vol.$821 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
79%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$78.1m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$8.6m today
1,375
$78.1m Vol.🔥$8.6m today$1.6m Liq.1,375
75%
December 31
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.8m Vol.
$297k Liq.
🔥$604k today
Ends in 28 days
$1.8m Vol.🔥$604k today$297k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
$4.2m Vol.
$503k Liq.
🔥$131k today
Ends in 3 months
$4.2m Vol.🔥$131k today$503k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,428
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,428Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
I
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
$429k Vol.
$42k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$429k Vol.$42k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
42%
June 30
M
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$72k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$72k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 28 days
92%
1800
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$86k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$86k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
$8k Vol.
$123k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$8k Vol.$123k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
6%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$133k Vol.
$14k Liq.
26
Ends in 3 months
$133k Vol.$14k Liq.26Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$61k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$61k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
31%
December 31, 2026
F
31%
June 30
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$74k Vol.
$13k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$74k Vol.$13k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
62%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$53k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$53k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
55%
US x Iran Ceasefire