Ships Predictions & Odds· 118 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$80k Liq.
🔥$67k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$67k today$80k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$440k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ended
$440k Vol.$40k Liq.Ended
51%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$605k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$605k Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
7%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$17k Liq.Ended
43%
30-34
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
20+
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$58k Liq.
🔥$255k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$255k today$58k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$326k Vol.
$50k Liq.
🔥$201k today
Ends in 3 days
$326k Vol.🔥$201k today$50k Liq.Ends in 3 days
80%
0-10
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$17k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
<2
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
36%
0-10
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$37k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$64k Vol.$37k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
98%
<5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$334k Vol.
$90k Liq.
🔥$62k today
33
Ends in about 1 month
$334k Vol.🔥$62k today$90k Liq.33Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
$48k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$48k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$18k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 5 days
89%
Sunday
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$933k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$933k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$150k Liq.
🔥$181k today
122
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$181k today$150k Liq.122Ends in about 9 hours
28%
April 30