Trans Predictions & Odds· 265 markets

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

56%

20-24

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$609k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

4%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

20+

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

41%

25-29

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 4 hours

1%

Yes

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

38%

<10

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$18k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$558 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months

39%

Yes

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$54k Liq.
🔥$161k today
Ends in about 4 hours

96%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$331k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

87%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

36%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$69k Liq.
🔥$92k today
102
Ends in about 1 month

24%

Yes

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

Cristiano Ronaldo · transfer

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

$33k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months

28%

LA Galaxy

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$4.6m Vol.
$369k Liq.
🔥$631k today
79
Ends in 9 months

99%

$50M

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.3m Vol.
$352k Liq.
🔥$598k today
211
Ends in 1 day

43%

June 30

edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$9.5m Vol.
$480k Liq.
🔥$446k today
148
Ends in 9 months

80%

$300M

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$660k Vol.
$134k Liq.
🔥$210k today
17
Ends in about 1 month

28%

United States

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$196k today
122
Ends in about 4 hours

28%

April 30

Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$1.1m Vol.
$106k Liq.
🔥$108k today
31
Ends in 9 months

67%

$200M