Transit Predictions & Odds· 135 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$92k Liq.
🔥$56k today
98
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$56k today$92k Liq.98Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$424k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ended
$424k Vol.$43k Liq.Ended
55%
20-24
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$603k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
7%
20+
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$13k Liq.Ended
37%
30-34
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
20+
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$627k Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$436k today
11
Ends in about 1 month
$627k Vol.🔥$436k today$127k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
41%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$59k Liq.
🔥$379k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$379k today$59k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
96%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$324k Vol.
$60k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in 4 days
$324k Vol.🔥$226k today$60k Liq.Ends in 4 days
80%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$112k Liq.
🔥$173k today
120
Ends in about 14 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$173k today$112k Liq.120Ends in about 14 hours
31%
April 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$328k Vol.
$108k Liq.
🔥$61k today
30
Ends in about 1 month
$328k Vol.🔥$61k today$108k Liq.30Ends in about 1 month
38%
April 30
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
37%
0-10
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 14 hours
$73k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$11k Liq.
4
Ends in about 14 hours
$50k Vol.$11k Liq.4Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$27k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$117k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$117k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
99%
March 30
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$92k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$92k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
34%
Yes
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
$33k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$33k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
April 1
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$2k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
2%
Yes
counter strike 2 · Sports
Will FalleN retire by June 1?
$1k Vol.
$961 Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$1k Vol.$961 Liq.1Ends in 2 months
20%
Yes