Oil Ship Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

$109k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

2%

Yes

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

33%

Yes

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

51%

April 15

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$17k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

62%

<2

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$83k Vol.
$47k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month

58%

April 30

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$98k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

7%

March 30

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

$64k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in about 8 hours

98%

<5

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$414 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

19%

April 5

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

53%

20-24

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

40%

30-34

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.2m Vol.
$139k Liq.
🔥$182k today
124
Ends in about 8 hours

26%

April 30

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$63k Liq.
🔥$87k today
101
Ends in about 1 month

22%

Yes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$340k Vol.
$101k Liq.
🔥$61k today
33
Ends in about 1 month

33%

April 30

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$608k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours

3%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

64%

20+

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$55k Liq.
🔥$210k today
Ends in about 8 hours

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$328k Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$158k today
Ends in 3 days

82%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

37%

0-10

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$649k Vol.
$181k Liq.
🔥$310k today
16
Ends in about 1 month

25%

United States

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$81k Vol.
$27k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months

39%

June 30