Trans Predictions & Odds· 266 markets

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)

61%

20-24

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$611k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended

4%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$8k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

51%

20+

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)

48%

30-34

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$52k Vol.
$8k Liq.
4
Ended

1%

Yes

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

$948 Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

18%

25-29

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$129k Vol.
$31k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

9%

Yes

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$0 Vol.
$580 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months

37%

Yes

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

$1.6m Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ended

97%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

$333k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 3 days

87%

0-10

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

36%

0-10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m Vol.
$116k Liq.
🔥$101k today
104
Ends in 30 days

21%

Yes

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

Cristiano Ronaldo · transfer

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

$33k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months

28%

LA Galaxy

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 14 days

1%

Yes

Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$4.7m Vol.
$387k Liq.
🔥$727k today
79
Ends in 9 months

99%

$50M

edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$9.7m Vol.
$512k Liq.
🔥$587k today
150
Ends in 9 months

83%

$300M

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$9.5m Vol.
$409k Liq.
🔥$545k today
214
Ends in about 22 hours

38%

June 30

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$338k Liq.
🔥$135k today
123
Ended

31%

April 30

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

$673k Vol.
$153k Liq.
🔥$92k today
19
Ends in 30 days

27%

United States

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$31.0m Vol.
$292k Liq.
🔥$84k today
1
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes